Exchange Rate Fundamentals and Order Flow
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Equity order flow and exchange rate dynamics
Article history: Received 13 November 2011 Received in revised form 28 February 2012 Accepted 1 March 2012 Available online 8 March 2012 This paper contributes to the literature on international portfolio choice in several ways. First, I generalize the model of Dunne et al. (2010) and derive order flow as the result of correlated belief changes by heterogeneous investors. This strategy delivers...
متن کاملEnd-user order flow and exchange rate dynamics
In this paper we provide evidence for Evans and Lyons’ (2005b) model of an information aggregation process in FX markets using a German bank’s end-user order flow from 2002 to 2003. Though customer order flow is unambiguously the vehicle incorporating non-public information into exchange rates over time, our empirical analysis does not support the widespread optimism in the market microstructur...
متن کاملFundamentals Based Exchange Rate Prediction Revisited
This paper revisits the role of macroeconomic fundamentals as predictors for exchange rate movements at different horizons. It takes seriously the notion that the fundamental dynamics of an economy is hard to measure and that the usual measures, such as monetary aggregates, price index and deflator series and GDP, are imperfect approximations of these fundamental movements. As an alternative me...
متن کاملThe Contribution of Observed and Unobserved Fundamentals to Exchange Rate Movements in Iran
Using a State-space model, this paper investigates the contribution of both observed and unobserved fundamentals to nominal exchange rate movement in Iran for the period 1991:2-2011:4. To this end, we follow Engel and West (2005) and Balke et al. (2013) and use an asset-pricing approach to develop a rational expectations present value exchange rate model. In order to examine the role of fun...
متن کاملSources of exchange rate fluctuations with Taylor rule fundamentals
a r t i c l e i n f o This paper investigates the sources of exchange rate fluctuations when monetary policy follows a Taylor rule interest rate reaction function. We first present a simple dynamic exchange rate model with Taylor rule fundamentals which is triangular in the long-run impacts of shocks to the output market, the interest rate differential, and the Taylor rule. We then proceed to a...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Quarterly Journal of Finance
سال: 2012
ISSN: 2010-1392,2010-1406
DOI: 10.1142/s2010139212500188